On foreseeability

Related to probability based on past performance, note of the Yankee's come from behind win over the Dodgers on 27 June 2010:

Torre brought in left-hander George Sherrill, whose second pitch was driven into the left-field pavilion by Cano for his 15th homer.

“I was just looking for a pitch to hit,” said Cano, a lefty who didn’t know he was 0 for 11 against Sherrill. “I came through at the right time.”

Separately, note Mariano Rivera pitched two innings and got the win.