Why are pollsters doing so badly?
The pollsters got the Democrat primary in New Hampshire wrong. In an article titled, Pollsters flummoxed by New Hampshire primary, Reuters noted:
In an era of instant analysis, everybody had a theory on why the polls got it wrong -- from the humanizing effect of Clinton's teary eyes while campaigning on Monday to the suspicion that New Hampshire voters get a perverse satisfaction from doing the opposite of Iowa voters.
"It's really a case study in the limits of momentum," said University of New Hampshire political analyst Dante Scala, commenting on pollsters' predictions that Obama would keep surging after a decisive win in the Iowa vote last week
Earlier, in the November 2007 elections in New Jersey, pollsters were monstrously wrong on the stem cell bond vote.
See http://ipbiz.blogspot.com/2007/11/star-ledger-fails-to-rationalize.html
In an era of instant analysis, everybody had a theory on why the polls got it wrong -- from the humanizing effect of Clinton's teary eyes while campaigning on Monday to the suspicion that New Hampshire voters get a perverse satisfaction from doing the opposite of Iowa voters.
"It's really a case study in the limits of momentum," said University of New Hampshire political analyst Dante Scala, commenting on pollsters' predictions that Obama would keep surging after a decisive win in the Iowa vote last week
Earlier, in the November 2007 elections in New Jersey, pollsters were monstrously wrong on the stem cell bond vote.
See http://ipbiz.blogspot.com/2007/11/star-ledger-fails-to-rationalize.html
posted by Lawrence B. Ebert at 5:46 PM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home