Thursday, January 13, 2022

On January 13, 2022, the national Covid death rate at 3.7; case rate at 1650.4 per 100K per week; NJ case rate at 2,293.1

On January 13, 2022, the national Covid case rate was:

7 DAY CASE RATE PER 100,000 1,650.4

The "higher" states in case rate are

Rhode Island 3,534.4 New York City* 3,162.9 New York (Level of Community Transmission)* 2,529.4 Massachusetts 2,416.4 New Jersey 2,293.1 Delaware 2,159.2 Florida 2,087 New York* 2,048.1 Utah 1,951.4 Hawaii 1,912.3 Louisiana 1,892.6 California 1,862.6 Virgin Islands 1,834.6 Vermont 1,814.9 Puerto Rico 1,810.3 Connecticut 1,805.6 Colorado 1,798.8 Illinois 1,795.4 South Carolina 1,792.8 Kansas 1,789.7 Arkansas 1,729 District of Columbia 1,697.9 Wisconsin 1,663.2 Pennsylvania 1,568.5

CDC | Data as of: January 13, 2022 1:52 PM ET. Posted: January 13, 2022 3:20 PM ET

The DEATH rate has been climbing

7 DAY DEATH RATE PER 100,000 3.7

The worse states for death rate:

Indiana 11 Delaware 9.4 New York City* 8.2 Pennsylvania 7.8 Maryland 7.2 New Mexico 6.7 Ohio 6.5 Illinois 6.1 West Virginia 6.1 New Jersey 5.9 Arizona 5.8 Iowa 5.8 Nebraska 5.7 Massachusetts 5.4 New York* 4.8 Connecticut 4.5 Missouri 4.5 Rhode Island 4.2 Wisconsin 4.1 Northern Mariana Islands 3.9 Arkansas 3.8 Idaho 3.8 Kentucky 3.8 Minnesota 3.8 Tennessee 3.5

There was a bit of a flap starting on Monday, January 11, 2022:

Throughout Monday [11 January 2022], right-wing media and GOP politicians ran wild with a short video clip of CDC Director Rochelle Walensky supposedly saying that the vast majority of all coronavirus deaths were among people with at least four comorbidities. According to the usual conservative firebrands, the video showed Walensky admitting that the threat of COVID-19 had been exaggerated from the start. (...) One of the issues at play—and perhaps why Walensky’s response was taken easily completely out of context—is that GMA edited the CDC director’s response to anchor Cecilia Vega’s question during the broadcast. “I want to ask you about those encouraging headlines that we’re talking about this morning, this new study showing just how well vaccines are working to prevent severe illness,” Vega asked. “Given that, is it time to start rethinking how we’re living with this virus, that it’s potentially here to stay?” In the segment that aired, this was Walensky’s response: “The overwhelming number of death, over 75 percent, occurred in people who had at least four comorbidities. So really, these are people who were unwell to begin with. And yes, really encouraging news in the context of omicron. This means not only just to get your primary series but to get your booster series, and yes, we’re really encouraged by these results.” (...) While Walensky’s comments that aired on Friday did not directly reference the study about vaccinated people, GMA included an on-air graphic noting that the CDC chief was talking about vaccine effectiveness. Furthermore, there was still enough context to tie it back to that study, as conservative writer Allahpundit noted on Monday afternoon. “Out of 1.2 million vaccinated people, just 36 died,” the influential blogger wrote. “That’s .003 percent, a phenomenal survival rate. Of those 36, slightly more than three-quarters had four comorbidities. Which is to say, even if you have three comorbidities, getting vaxxed all but guarantees that you won’t die if you’re infected.” link: Tucker Carlson, Laura Ingraham Run Wild With Debunked Claim on COVID Deaths https://www.yahoo.com/news/tucker-carlson-laura-ingraham-run-180435917.html Tucker Carlson, Laura Ingraham Run Wild With Debunked Claim on COVID Deaths Illustration by The Daily Beast/GettyWhen it comes to Tucker Carlson and Laura Ingraham, apparently no amount of...

The study in question in the "debate"


Summary of referenced study: Among 1,228,664 persons who completed primary vaccination during December 2020–October 2021, severe COVID-19–associated outcomes (0.015%) or death (0.0033%) were rare. Risk factors for severe outcomes included age ≥65 years, immunosuppressed, and six other underlying conditions. All persons with severe outcomes had at least one risk factor; 78% of persons who died had at least four. (...) Among 1,228,664 persons who completed primary vaccination during December 2020–October 2021, a total of 2,246 (18.0 per 10,000 vaccinated persons) developed COVID-19 and 189 (1.5 per 10,000) had a severe outcome, including 36 who died (0.3 deaths per 10,000). Risk for severe outcomes was higher among persons who were aged ≥65 years, were immunosuppressed, or had at least one of six other underlying conditions. All persons with severe outcomes had at least one of these risk factors, and 77.8% of those who died had four or more risk factors. Severe COVID-19 outcomes after primary vaccination are rare; however, vaccinated persons who are aged ≥65 years, are immunosuppressed, or have other underlying conditions might be at increased risk. These persons should receive targeted interventions including chronic disease management, precautions to reduce exposure, additional primary and booster vaccine doses, and effective pharmaceutical therapy as indicated to reduce risk for severe COVID-19 outcomes. Increasing COVID-19 vaccination coverage is a public health priority. link: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7101a4.htm


But separately, recall a NYT article from a month previously

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/13/us/covid-deaths-elderly-americans.html

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