Saturday, October 31, 2015

An exercise in foreseeability: Morgan Robertson "predicts" Titanic sinking in 1898

After KSR, there is much discussion of foreseeability in the obviousness analysis.

An interesting, and eerie, example of foreseeability is found in the novella by Morgan Robertson titled: Futility.

The ship in the 1898 novella was named the "Titan," and was within 25 meters of the length of the Titanic. The largest ship of its day, the Titan was deemed unsinkable. But it hit an iceberg in the northern Atlantic, and sunk.

As noted in Time magazine (and elsewhere):

After the sinking of the Titanic, Robertson gained great acclaim for being a clairvoyant, a title he denied.

“No,” he would reply. “I know what I’m writing about, that’s all.”

One of ordinary skill in the art, or of extraordinary skill?

link to Time story:


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